我们每月收入 $16k,希望持有2套房产:现在应先卖掉HDB去买2套公寓,还是直接缴ABSD?
February 23, 2024
Hi Stacked Homes,
我是 Stacked Homes 文章的忠实读者,也是 Stacked Youtube 视频的订阅者。希望你们一切安好。=)
想请教一个我们目前面临的房产相关问题。我们的情况如下:
- 我和先生在 Sep 2020 购买了第一套房产,一套转售 HDB。我们当时没有以“owner-occupier”身份登记该房产,因此两人的名字都绑定在这套房产上。
- 目前年龄为 37(妻子)和 36(丈夫)
- 我们的转售 HDB 是位于 Serangoon Avenue 2 的 40 年楼龄 4 房式单位。购入价 SGD 459K。我们希望理想情况下能以 SGD 700k 售出,以抵消我们投入的大量装修费用。因为是从第一任屋主手中购得,屋况保留 37 年前原始状态,所以所有电线重铺、地砖等都必须重做。
截至目前的未偿还贷款为 SGD 210,374。我们每月以 SGD 830 X 2(夫妻各自支付)来还贷。
用于该房产的 CPF 加上累积利息?
Husband: SGD 11,703 wife: SGD 8,996.18
当前 OA
- CPF: SGD 52,268 (wife), SGD 38,883K (husband)
- Cash: 250K (total)
- Income: SGD 9K (wife), SGD 7K (husband)
我们目前在权益类资产上的配置较重,正考虑通过第二套房产来分散投资。我想请教,当我们的房产在 Sep 2025 达到 MOP 时,我们正在考虑以下 3 个选项:
A. 卖掉现有转售 HDB,并再购买一套转售 HDB(5 房式或 4 房式优质公寓)。
然后再等 5 年购买下一套私宅作为投资。但我们也担心若采用此方案,等到购买第二套房时,贷款年限会缩短。
B. 卖掉现有转售 HDB,一次性购买 2 套私宅(理想情况是 1 套 3 房自住,另 1 套用于投资)。
C. 支付 ABSD,然后购买第二套私宅
非常感谢你们抽时间阅读。盼复,谢谢建议。
(这是我们持续推出的一个系列,专门解答读者关于房地产市场的问题。如果你也有想询问的问题,欢迎发送至 stories@stackedhomes.com。)
Hi,
感谢来信与一直以来的支持。
这是许多 HDB 屋主都会遇到的典型情况,完全理解在迈出下一步前需要思量许多。
但在深入讨论你们正在考虑的选项之前,让我们先评估一下你们的可负担能力。
很多读者来信,是因为不确定下一步该怎么做,也不知道该相信谁。
如果你有类似的困惑,我们提供结构化的一对一咨询,帮你全面梳理财务状况、购房目标与市场选项——客观分析,不带立场。
没有任何义务,只是让你更清晰。
点击了解更多 这里。
出售
Serangoon Avenue 2 一带近期 4 房式 HDB 成交:
| Date | Block | Level | Size (sqm) & Type | Completion year | Price |
| Feb 2024 | 238 | 10 to 12 | 84.00简化型 | 1985 | $658,800 |
| Jan 2024 | 309 | 07 to 09 | 93.00新一代 | 1985 | $599,000 |
| Jan 2024 | 315 | 07 to 09 | 103.00新一代 | 1985 | $690,000 |
| Dec 2023 | 309 | 01 to 03 | 95.00新一代 | 1985 | $579,000 |
| Dec 2023 | 315 | 07 to 09 | 93.00新一代 | 1985 | $620,000 |
由于未指明你们的具体楼栋,我将取上述成交的平均价作为出售价格。
| Description | Amount |
| Sale price | $629,360 |
| Outstanding loan | $210,374 |
| CPF used plus accrued interest | $20,699 |
| Sales proceeds | $398,287 |
显然,你们的可负担能力取决于所选择的路径。接下来我会在讨论各个选项时进一步展开。
购买
选项 A. 卖掉现有 HDB,并以 owner-occupier 安排购买另一套 HDB,由居住者在 MOP 后购买第二套房产
先从你们的财务能力来看。
鉴于你的收入更高且可申请更大的贷款额度,我在此假设你将登记为居住者,并在达到最短居住期(MOP)后再购买第二套房产。
丈夫的可负担能力(购买 HDB)
| Description | Amount |
| Maximum loan based on the age of 37 with a monthly income of $7K at 4.8% interest* | $366,494 (25-year tenure) |
| CPF funds | $50,586 |
| Cash* | $250,000 |
| Total loan + CPF + cash | $667,080 |
| BSD based on $667,080 | $14,612 |
| Estimated affordability | $652,468 |
*市场传闻银行已将压力测试利率上调至 4.8%
*我在此将你们的现金储蓄全部配置于此
妻子在 2030 年的可负担能力(购买私宅)
| Description | Amount |
| Maximum loan based on the age of 42 with a monthly income of $9K at 4.8% interest | $826,312 (23-year tenure) |
| CPF funds | $61,264 |
| Cash* | $398,287 |
| Total loan + CPF + cash | $1,285,863 |
| BSD based on $1,285,863 | $36,034 |
| Estimated affordability | $1,249,829 |
*我在此将你们现有房产的全部售房现金净得分配到这里。
请注意,丈夫在购买 HDB 时须受 30% 的 Mortgage Servicing Ratio(MSR)限制,不同于 55% 的 Total Debt To Servicing Ratio(TDSR),这也解释了最高可贷额度差距较大的原因。
另需注意的是,由于第二套房产将在 6 年后才购买,届时你们的 CPF 及或现金储蓄大概率会更多,因此可负担能力或更高。但话说回来,房价也可能上涨,因此现在难以准确评估那时的可负担范围。
2023 年第 4 季 HDB 中位转售价:
| Towns | 4-Room | 5-Room |
| Ang Mo Kio | $594,000 | $788,000 |
| Bedok | $530,000 | $695,000 |
| Bishan | $707,000 | $918,000 |
| Bukit Batok | $593,000 | $767,500 |
| Bukit Merah | $856,000 | $959,000 |
| Bukit Panjang | $503,000 | $620,000 |
| Bukit Timah | * | * |
| Central | * | * |
| Choa Chu Kang | $508,000 | $603,000 |
| Clementi | $561,000 | * |
| Geylang | $615,000 | * |
| Hougang | $560,000 | $655,000 |
| Jurong East | $497,500 | $628,000 |
| Jurong West | $490,000 | $588,000 |
| Kallang/Whampoa | $830,000 | $880,400 |
| Marine Parade | * | * |
| Pasir Ris | $555,000 | $663,000 |
| Punggol | $605,000 | $670,000 |
| Queenstown | $928,000 | * |
| Sembawang | $551,000 | $602,900 |
| Sengkang | $575,000 | $610,000 |
| Serangoon | $600,000 | * |
| Tampines | $579,000 | $685,000 |
| Toa Payoh | $750,000 | $881,900 |
| Woodlands | $515,000 | $598,500 |
| Yishun | $520,000 | $660,000 |
在该方案下,你们分别的可负担能力都相当健康,当前能为自住及投资提供不少选择。然而,第二套房计划在 6 年后购买,届时 $1.2M 预算内的可选空间仍存在不确定性。
如果采取这一方案,让我们看看相关的费用。我将假设一个 10 年持有期(HDB 10 年,私宅 5 年)。
HDB
| Description | Amount |
| Purchase price | $650,000 |
| BSD | $14,100 |
| CPF + cash | $300,586 |
| Loan required | $363,514 |
发生的成本
| Description | Amount |
| BSD | $14,100 |
| Interest expense (Assuming 4% interest with 25-year tenure) | $126,139 |
| Town council service & conservancy fees (Assuming $85/month) | $10,200 |
| Property tax | $4,600 |
| Total costs | $155,039 |
私宅
| Description | Amount |
| Purchase price | $1,200,000 |
| BSD | $32,600 |
| CPF + cash | $459,551 |
| Loan required | $773,049 |
发生的成本
为便于计算,我将假设 3% 的租金回报率。
| Description | Amount |
| BSD | $36,600 |
| Interest expense (Assuming 4% interest with 25-year tenure) | $143,828 |
| Maintenance fees (Assuming $250/month) | $15,000 |
| Property tax | $24,000 |
| Rental income | $180,000 |
| Agency fee (Payable once every 2 years) | $9,720 |
| Total costs | $49,148 |
若采取该路径的总成本:$155,039 + $49,148 = $204,187
选项 B. 卖掉现有 HDB 并购买 2 套私宅
同样,先看你们的可负担能力。
丈夫的可负担能力(购买私宅)
| Description | Amount |
| Maximum loan based on the age of 37 with a monthly income of $7K at 4.8% interest | $710,806 (28-year tenure) |
| CPF funds | $50,586 |
| Cash | $250,000 |
| Total loan + CPF + cash | $1,011,392 |
| BSD based on $1,011,392 | $25,055 |
| Estimated affordability | $986,337 |
需要注意的是,购买私宅转售时,买方印花税(BSD)须先以现金支付,之后再向 IRAS 申请报销。这是因为 BSD 必须在行使购房选择权(Option To Purchase,OTP)后 14 天内缴清,而这段时间不足以从 CPF 账户提取资金。
妻子的可负担能力
| Description | Amount |
| Maximum loan based on the age of 38 with a monthly income of $9K at 4.8% interest | $898,014 (27-year tenure) |
| CPF funds | $61,264 |
| Cash | $398,287 |
| Total loan + CPF + cash | $1,357,565 |
| BSD based on $1,357,565 | $38,902 |
| Estimated affordability | $1,318,663 |
接下来看看市场上有哪些符合你们预算及需求的在售单位。
以 $980K 预算(投资用)
| Project | District | Tenure | Completion year | Unit type | Asking price | Avg 2b rent (Sep – Nov 2023) | Rental yield |
| High Park Residences | 28 | 99 years | 2019 | 2b1b | $950,000 | $3,300 | 4.2% |
| Sol Acres | 23 | 99 years | 2019 | 2b1b | $928,000 | $3,725 | 4.8% |
| Kingsford Waterbay | 19 | 99 years | 2018 | 2b1b | $899,000 | $3,433 | 4.6% |
以 $1.3M 预算(自住)
| Project | District | Tenure | Completion year | Unit type | Asking price |
| High Park Residences | 28 | 99 years | 2019 | 3b2b | $1,300,000 |
| Parc Life | 27 | 99 years | 2018 | 3b2b | $1,270,000 |
| Kingsford Waterbay | 19 | 99 years | 2018 | 3b2b | $1,299,000 |
不确定你们是否熟悉这些项目,它们的优点在于属于大众化社区型发展,配套丰富且由众多住户分摊,因此较适合家庭居住,且与小型精品公寓相比,你们的管理费会更低。不过,由于是自住项目,主观因素较多,还是建议实地考察数个单位,从地段、设施与户型等方面综合考虑。
[咨询横幅]
需要指出的是,尽管 $1.3M 有机会买到楼龄较新的 3 房单位,但选择相对有限,且多位于城市外缘地带。
现在来看看采取此路径所涉及的费用。我会同样以 10 年持有期来衡量。
假设你先生购买一套 Sol Acres 作为投资。
以下为近期部分 2b1b 成交:
| Date | Size (sqft) | PSF | Price | Address |
| Jan 2024 | 614 | $1,499 | $920,000 | 14 Choa Chu Kang Grove #13 |
| Oct 2023 | 614 | $1,516 | $930,000 | 14 Choa Chu Kang Grove #25 |
| Aug 2023 | 614 | $1,508 | $925,000 | 14 Choa Chu Kang Grove #22 |
为便于计算,我将采用 $925,000 的平均成交价作为购买价,并以 $3,725 的平均租金计。
| Description | Amount |
| Purchase price | $925,000 |
| BSD | $22,350 |
| CPF + cash | $300,586 |
| Loan required | $646,764 |
| Description | Amount |
| BSD | $22,350 |
| Interest expense (Assuming 4% interest with 28-year tenure) | $230,176 |
| Maintenance fees (Assuming $250/month) | $30,000 |
| Property tax | $65,400 |
| Rental income | $447,000 |
| Agency fee (Payable once every 2 years) | $20,115 |
| Total gains | $78,959 |
至于自住,假设你们购买 High Park Residences 的一个单位。
以下为近期部分 3 房成交:
| Date | Size (sqft) | PSF | Price | Address |
| Oct 2023 | 872 | $1,454 | $1,268,000 | 31 Fernvale Road #10 |
| Sep 2023 | 872 | $1,457 | $1,270,000 | 29 Fernvale Road #12 |
为便于计算,我将采用 $1,269,000 的平均成交价作为购买价。
| Description | Amount |
| Purchase price | $1,269,000 |
| BSD | $35,360 |
| CPF + cash | $465,198 |
| Loan required | $839,163 |
| Description | Amount |
| BSD | $35,360 |
| Interest expense (Assuming 4% interest with 27-year tenure) | $296,363 |
| Maintenance fees (Assuming $350/month) | $42,000 |
| Property tax | $13,640 |
| Total costs | $387,363 |
若采取该路径的总成本:$387,363 – $78,959 = $308,404
选项 C. 支付 ABSD 并购买第二套房产
需注意的是,购买第二套房产时,如名下已有按揭贷款,第二套贷款的 Loan To Value(LTV)比率将降至 45%。在剩余的 55% 中,25% 必须以现金支付。
同样,我们先评估你们的可负担能力。
在手现金 $250,000,可覆盖 25% 现金首付,理论预算可上探至 $1 million。但考虑到需要支付较高的 Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty(ABSD),我们将预算调整至 $800,000。
以下为该价位中楼龄较新的在售单位:
| Project | District | Tenure | Completion year | Unit type | Asking price | Avg 1b rent (Sep – Nov 2023) | Rental yield |
| High Park Residences | 28 | 99 years | 2019 | 1+S | $750,000 | $2,644 | 4.2% |
| Sol Acres | 23 | 99 years | 2019 | 1b | $775,000 | $3,079 | 4.8% |
| Kingsford Waterbay | 19 | 99 years | 2018 | 1b | $738,000 | $2,783 | 4.5% |
同样,我将假设你们购买一套 Sol Acres。
以下为近期部分 1 房成交:
| Date | Size (sqft) | PSF | Price | Address |
| Nov 2023 | 495 | $1,454 | $720,000 | 6 Choa Chu Kang Grove #06 |
| Oct 2023 | 495 | $1,434 | $710,000 | 6 Choa Chu Kang Grove #01 |
| Oct 2023 | 495 | $1,515 | $750,000 | 6 Choa Chu Kang Grove #15 |
为便于计算,我将采用 $726,667 的平均成交价作为购买价,并以 $3,079 的平均租金计。
| Description | Amount |
| Purchase price | $726,667 |
| BSD | $16,400 |
| ABSD | $145,333 |
| CPF + cash | $621,000 |
| Loan required | $267,400 |
| Description | Amount |
| BSD | $16,400 |
| ABSD | $145,333 |
| Interest expense (Assuming 4% interest with 27-year tenure) | $94,436 |
| Maintenance fees (Assuming $200/month) | $24,000 |
| Property tax | $49,900 |
| Rental income | $369,480 |
| Agency fee (Payable once every 2 years) | $16,625 |
| Total gains | $22,786 |
我们也要计入持有 HDB 的成本。
| Description | Amount |
| Interest expense (With an outstanding loan of $210,374 at 4% interest and assuming a 20-year tenure remaining) | $68,520 |
| Town council service & conservancy fees (Assuming $85/month) | $10,200 |
| Property tax | $4,350 |
| Total costs | $83,070 |
若采取该路径的总成本:$83,070 – $22,786 = $60,284
你们该怎么做?
我们先快速汇总 3 个选项在 10 年期内的成本。
| Potential pathways | Costs incurred over 10 years | Properties |
| A. Sell current HDB and purchase another HDB under the owner occupier arrangement, occupier to purchase second property after MOP | $204,187 | 1 HDB, 1 private property |
| B. Sell the current HDB and purchase 2 private properties | $308,404 | 2 private properties |
| C. Pay ABSD and purchase a second property | $60,284 | 1 HDB, 1 private property |
尽管三种方案最终都能持有两套房产,但持有房产的类型不同,潜在增值表现也会不同。
HDB
| Year | RPI | % Change |
| 2013-Q4 | 145.8 | – |
| 2014-Q4 | 137 | -6.04% |
| 2015-Q4 | 134.8 | -1.61% |
| 2016-Q4 | 134.6 | -0.15% |
| 2017-Q4 | 132.6 | -1.49% |
| 2018-Q4 | 131.4 | -0.90% |
| 2019-Q4 | 131.5 | 0.08% |
| 2020-Q4 | 138.1 | 5.02% |
| 2021-Q4 | 155.7 | 12.74% |
| 2022-Q4 | 171.9 | 10.40% |
| 2023-Q4 | 180.4 | 4.94% |
| Average | – | 2.30% |
非有地私宅
| Year | Index | % Change |
| 2013-Q4 | 147.6 | – |
| 2014-Q4 | 142.5 | -3.46% |
| 2015-Q4 | 137.4 | -3.58% |
| 2016-Q4 | 133.8 | -2.62% |
| 2017-Q4 | 135.6 | 1.35% |
| 2018-Q4 | 146.8 | 8.26% |
| 2019-Q4 | 149.6 | 1.91% |
| 2020-Q4 | 153.3 | 2.47% |
| 2021-Q4 | 168.4 | 9.85% |
| 2022-Q4 | 182.1 | 8.14% |
| 2023-Q4 | 194.2 | 6.64% |
| Average | – | 2.90% |
图表与数据清楚显示,自 2017 年以来,非有地私宅的升幅快于 HDB。因此,理论上持有两套私宅的资本增值潜力优于持有一套 HDB + 一套私宅。
这一点显而易见,关键还是要选对项目。
若以平均增长率来估算:
| Potential pathways | Costs incurred over 10 years | Property value | Potential gains | Potential gains minus costs |
| A. Sell current HDB and purchase another HDB under the owner occupier arrangement, occupier to purchase second property after MOP | $204,187 | HDB – $650,000PTE – $1,200,000 | $350,350 | $146,163 |
| B. Sell the current HDB and purchase 2 private properties | $308,404 | PTE 1 – $925,000PTE 2 – $1,269,000 | $726,051 | $417,647 |
| C. Pay ABSD and purchase a second property | $60,284 | HDB – $629,360PTE – $726,667 | $401,164 | $340,880 |
鉴于私宅增长率更高,选项 B 的利润最高。
尽管选项 C 的利润高于选项 A(因私宅持有期更长,且贷款额较低、利息开支下降),但出于若干原因,并非最佳之选。
其一,你们现有 HDB 已有 40 年楼龄,若长期持有会面临租约年限递减的问题。当前 HDB 市场处于高位,或是个调整与重组资产组合的好时机。
此外,房产投资的一大优势在于杠杆,但在名下已有按揭的情况下,LTV 明显降低,杠杆受限。最后,由于必须以联名购买,需缴付可观的 ABSD。以 ABSD $145,333 与每月租金 $3,079 估算,仅收回 ABSD 就需约 4 年之久,时间成本不低,且未计入空置风险。因此,选项 C 是我最不推荐的。
选项 A 让你们有机会重组资产,换置较新的 HDB,具备一定升值潜力或更好的价值保值性。但代价是 5 年 MOP 期间错失部分市场机会。尽管如此,该选项能在你们心仪地段提供更舒适的自住空间,同时维持一套投资房,且总体成本低于选项 B。
三者之中,选项 B 从账面上看最为理想。若精挑细选项目,升值潜力更佳。虽然成本更高,主要源于自住带来的持有开支,但其升值空间仍优于 HDB。其最大不足在于地段受限,因为自住项目的预算被限定在 $1.3 million。
在 Stacked,我们更喜欢跳出新闻标题和表面的数字,关注这些趋势在现实生活中是如何真正发生与发展的。
如果你想讨论这些情况如何适用于你自己的购房或投资计划,可以在这里预约 一对一咨询。
如果你只是有个问题,或想分享你的想法,也欢迎写信给我们:stories@stackedhomes.com —— 我们会阅读每一封来信。
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