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HDB Lease Decay In Woodlands Is Accelerating — With One Flat Type Seeing Faster Declines

March 26, 2026 by Joey Peh

Woodlands HDB resale prices don't drop sharply with age, but lease decay affects 3, 4, and 5-room flats very differently.…

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Park Colonial
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This 805-Unit Condo Sold 70% Within Its First Year — Here’s How It Has Performed Since

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Twin Vew
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March 21, 2026 by Matthew Kwan

We review Pinery Residences, a 588-unit mixed-use development in Tampines West with direct MRT access and prices from $2,378 psf,…

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RIVELLE SCALE MODEL 19

I Visited Rivelle EC’s Showflat: A 5-Min Walk To MRT, From $1,796 PSF — Here’s What Buyers Should Know

March 17, 2026 by Cheryl Teo

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Kiara Reserve Residences

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March 1, 2026 by Hailey Khoo

Kiara Reserve Residences is a 46-unit freehold beachfront project along Phuket’s Layan Bay, adjacent to Anantara Layan Phuket Resort. Developed…

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Woodlands HDB
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HDB Lease Decay In Woodlands Is Accelerating — With One Flat Type Seeing Faster Declines

March 26, 2026 by Joey Peh

Woodlands HDB resale prices don't drop sharply with age, but lease decay affects 3, 4, and 5-room flats very differently.…

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2
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Park Colonial
Pro

This 805-Unit Condo Sold 70% Within Its First Year — Here’s How It Has Performed Since

March 24, 2026 by Joey Peh

Park Colonial was one of 2018's most notable launches, selling over 300 units in a single night ahead of new…

0
76
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Springleaf Residence Model 38

Why I Bought A $1.7 Million 3-Bedder At Springleaf Residence: A Buyer’s Case Study

March 23, 2026 by Ryan J. Ong

A 36-year-old investment-focused buyer with a $1.7M budget shortlisted Canberra Crescent Residences and Springleaf Residences for a three-bedroom unit. We…

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1. The Orie Model 3

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SERS: Singapore’s $94,000 Housing Lottery Or A Bad Bet?

Ryan J. Ong

July 20, 2025

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It’s August 1995, and you wake up at 7 am because the peeling paint and cockroach community in your decaying flat have given you itchy patches the size of a football field. 

Your block may be in a great location, but it’s so run down it looks like the rubble in one of those Call of Duty maps. But you’re waking up to good news for once: because that’s the month and year when the government announces the Selective Enbloc Redevelopment Scheme (SERS), soon to be Singapore’s favourite gamble next to Toto and 4D. 

The idea for SERS is to revive ageing neighbourhoods. If your HDB is in the four to five per cent of eligible units, then your satisfaction and silence are bought by (1) a subsidised replacement flat with a fresh 99-year lease, (2) compensation at market value, (3) priority allocation for the new replacement flats, and (4) financial assistance, like certain waivers or subsidises for fees. 

TL; DR: HDB just descended from the heavens with a big cheque, paying you an insanely generous amount for the crumbling slab of concrete that you live in.

Some people will take this opportunity to upgrade, picking a bigger flat with their priority allocation, and being carried above the peasants at selection like the Queen’s own Pomeranian. 

As to how good this can get, well, consider the SERS exercise for Pine Ville in Ang Mo Kio, as explained, apparently, by a cat that likes fried rice (there’s no name and that’s what the author profile says.) 

When the alleged cat obtained its SERS unit in the October 2023 exercise, it paid $538,000 for a 4-room flat (around 1,001 sq ft and on the 20th storey). In 2025, during a Sale of Balance Flats (SBF) exercise, the same type of flat was being sold for $632,000. That’s a gain of $94,000 in roughly 18 months, or an ROI of about 11 per cent per year. 

Even if you leave out the benefit of a topped-up lease, you can see how the resale values by the end of the Minimum Occupancy Period (MOP) can take some people into condo territory. 

That said, SERS isn’t all roses

First, do keep in mind that Pine Ville blogger-cat still had to cough up $157,000 extra just to snag that shiny new flat. It’s worth it, of course, and still a jackpot win – but there’s still an initial hit to the pocket. 

This was also an issue at an Ang Mo Kio SERS exercise, where one couple pointed out they got $450,000 compensation for their flat, but the replacement costs $565,000. This isn’t a problem for the young and financially secure, but for older folks with limited income, or those in already tight financial situations, this “lottery win” feels as nice as ripping a toenail on a brick. 

By the way: you scored a sweet $538,000 flat, but now your kids get to pay $632,000 for the exact same unit. 

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It’s nice to see property values go up. But when public housing goes up this fast, it feels a bit like I’ve climbed to the top, then kicked over the ladder and yelled to the next generation: “Good luck in Tengah, kids! Buy extra mosquito repellent!” 

As the Pine Ville cat put it: “It’s like TOTO after all. LOL.” But that also implies the winning tickets had to be funded by losing tickets somewhere, somehow. 

Whilst I was writing this, one reader also had an interesting opinion about SERS, being themselves a “lottery winner” from a long-ago SERS:

“If you’re old when this happens, you’re paying good money for decades of lease you’ll never live to use. Or if you had everything settled with a fully‑paid old flat, congratulations, now you can deal with having to borrow money again.

There’s also no real sense of the community moving. It’s supposed to revive the neighbourhood, but where do you see that? Everything just talks about upgrading. Don’t underestimate how much this messes with elderly residents or people with special needs.”

Meanwhile in other property news…

  • I thought the condos that no one wanted to sell must have been the best ones. The data clowned me. 
  • A Clementi 4-room flat sold for $1.28 million. Does that mean everyone in Clementi can now order their BMWs? Not quite, not all flats are like this. 
  • A new launch, River Valley condo, where prices start from just $1.2 million. This is where it is.
  • Reflections at Keppel Bay is one of our most iconic condos, and maybe one of the most gorgeous; but the performance…meh. 

Weekly Sales Roundup (07 July – 13 July)

Top 5 Most Expensive New Sales (By Project)

PROJECT NAMEPRICE S$AREA (SQFT)$PSFTENURE
WATTEN HOUSE$8,007,0002368$3,381FH
ONE MARINA GARDENS$5,160,0021647$3,13399 yrs (2023)
PINETREE HILL$4,596,0001733$2,65299 yrs (2022)
LYNDENWOODS$4,131,0001647$2,50899 years
ELTA$3,954,0001776$2,22699 yrs (2024)

Top 5 Cheapest New Sales (By Project)

PROJECT NAMEPRICE S$AREA (SQFT)$PSFTENURE
HILL HOUSE$1,298,000431$3,015999 yrs (1841)
LYNDENWOODS$1,398,000635$2,20199 years
CLAYDENCE$1,473,600614$2,402FH
BLOOMSBURY RESIDENCES$1,628,000678$2,40199 yrs (2024)
THE HILL @ONE-NORTH$1,819,020732$2,48599 yrs (2022)

Top 5 Most Expensive Resale

PROJECT NAMEPRICE S$AREA (SQFT)$PSFTENURE
CYAN$5,680,0002077$2,734FH
LINCOLN SUITES$5,560,0003143$1,769FH
BELLE VUE RESIDENCES$4,880,0002443$1,997FH
KING’S MANSION$4,690,0002734$1,715FH
GLENTREES$4,450,0002863$1,554999 yrs (1885)

Top 5 Cheapest Resale

PROJECT NAMEPRICE S$AREA (SQFT)$PSFTENURE
THE HILLFORD$585,000398$1,46960 yrs (2013)
SILVERSCAPE$650,000409$1,589FH
SUITES @ KOVAN$680,000366$1,858FH
EUHABITAT$725,000517$1,40399 yrs (2010)
EIGHT RIVERSUITES$866,800441$1,96499 yrs (2011)

Top 5 Biggest Winners

PROJECT NAMEPRICE S$AREA (SQFT)$PSFRETURNSHOLDING PERIOD
OCEAN PARK$4,100,0002110$1,943$2,875,00020 Years
CASA CAIRNHILL$3,671,2001572$2,336$2,521,20022 Years
THE BELVEDERE$3,550,0001367$2,597$2,473,51618 Years
ST PATRICK’S COURT$2,570,0001507$1,705$2,000,00027 Years
GRANDE VISTA$3,500,0003477$1,007$2,000,00029 Years

Top 5 Biggest Losers

PROJECT NAMEPRICE S$AREA (SQFT)$PSFRETURNSHOLDING PERIOD
SCOTTS SQUARE$2,560,000947$2,703-$1,156,97518 Years
LINCOLN SUITES$5,560,0003143$1,769-$510,00016 Years
ROBINSON SUITES$1,150,000495$2,323-$485,00015 Years
JIA$2,000,0001798$1,113-$454,00014 Years
THE CLIFT$980,000495$1,979-$153,50014 Years

Transaction Breakdown

Type Of Sale (Proportion) NEWSLETTER

For more on the Singapore property market and its ongoing changes, follow us on Stacked. 

At Stacked, we like to look beyond the headlines and surface-level numbers, and focus on how things play out in the real world.

If you’d like to discuss how this applies to your own circumstances, you can reach out for a one-to-one consultation here.

And if you simply have a question or want to share a thought, feel free to write to us at stories@stackedhomes.com — we read every message.

Frequently asked questions

What is Singapore's SERS program and how does it work?
SERS is a scheme to redevelop aging neighborhoods by offering eligible flat owners a subsidized replacement flat, compensation at market value, priority in flat allocation, and financial assistance. It aims to upgrade public housing while providing residents with benefits.
How much did the Pine Ville flat increase in value after SERS?
The Pine Ville flat was purchased for $538,000 in October 2023 and sold for $632,000 in 2025, resulting in a gain of $94,000 over roughly 18 months, which is about an 11% annual ROI.
What are some drawbacks of participating in SERS?
Drawbacks include the initial financial hit, as compensation may not cover replacement costs, especially for older or financially limited residents. It can also disrupt community ties and may not be beneficial for those who cannot afford new, more expensive flats.
Are property prices rising in Singapore, and what does that mean for residents?
Yes, property prices are rising, with some flats selling for over a million dollars. This increase can benefit owners through higher resale values but may also make it difficult for future buyers, especially younger generations.
What are some recent high and low prices for new and resale flats in Singapore?
Recent high prices include a Clementi 4-room flat at $1.28 million and resale flats like Cyan at $5.68 million. The cheapest new sales are around $1.3 million, and resale flats can be as low as $585,000.
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Ryan J. Ong

A seasoned content strategist with over 17 years in the real estate and financial journalism sectors, Ryan has built a reputation for transforming complex industry jargon into accessible knowledge. With a track record of writing and editing for leading financial platforms and publications, Ryan's expertise has been recognised across various media outlets. His role as a former content editor for 99.co and a co-host for CNA 938's Open House programme underscores his commitment to providing valuable insights into the property market.

2 Comments

  1. The cat that likes fried rice 7 months ago

    Hi, I am The cat that likes fried rice. Can I have your permission to link this article in my 563amk.com blog?

    Reply
    1. Stacked Homes 7 months ago

      Sure!

      Reply

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