Things are finally starting to calm down in Singapore’s private property market, with 2023 seeing the tail-end of the post-pandemic supply crunch. But for many buyers, complaints of high prices are still prevalent: private home prices may be flattening out, but many upgraders still struggle to afford true, family-sized units; and in every market segment, the threat of ever-rising interest rates is looming.

Here’s a look at how things worked out this year:

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Transaction volumes for private non-landed homes 

Volume for all non-landed homes excluding EC

Transaction Volumes 2023

Volume by type of sale (non-landed homes excluding EC)

Type of Sale20222023Change
New Sale6,8186,174-9.4%
Resale12,1269,529-21.4%
Sub Sale6991,111+58.9%
Total19,64316,814-14.4%

Volume by market segment (non-landed homes excluding EC)

Market Segment20222023% Change
Core Central Region4,0393191-21.0%
Outside Central Region9,0897286-19.8%
Rest of Central Region6,5156337-2.7%
Total19,64316814-14.4%

Overall, transaction volumes were down by 14.4 per cent from a year ago. The RCR saw the healthiest volumes for the year, barely down 22.7 per cent from 2022, while the CCR and OCR were both down by close to 20 per cent.

The stronger showing in the RCR is mostly due to the triple launch of The Continuum, Grand Dunman, and Tembusu Grand - all three projects are in District 15 in the RCR, and Grand Dunman is also a mega-development with 1,008 units. These were further supported by earlier new launches Pinetree Hill, The Landmark, and LIV@MB

Some realtors were surprised at the weaker showing in the OCR though; some said they expected Lentor Hills and Lentor Modern would have helped to boost OCR transaction numbers. And while J’den was one of the most significant OCR successes toward the end of 2023, it is a rather small condo (368 units). 

For the CCR, the drop in volume was expected and attributed to the 60 per cent ABSD rate slapped on foreigners (affluent foreign buyers make up a bigger portion of buyers in the CCR, compared to the other regions). Some projects - notably Pullman Residences - bucked the trend and saw strong sales anyway, but the recent cooling measure is taking its toll on this region. 

A note on rising sub-sales

As always, these make up a very small portion of the market (this year, only 1,111 out of 16,814 transactions). Nonetheless, this number is an almost 59 per cent increase compared to the year before. Some realtors attributed this to buyers from 2019 and 2020, looking to realise strong gains over the past three to four years.

(We highlighted some of the more notable transactions in this article

Realtors also opined that, among investment-oriented sellers, the rise in home loan interest rates may incentivise an earlier exit; possibly in the form of sub-sales. 

Price movements for private non-landed homes

Overall price movement

Price Movement For Non Landed Homes 2023

By Region

RegionSales volume (2022)Price psf (2022)Sales volume (2023)Price psf (2023)Approx. gain / loss
Singapore19,643$1,72012.0%$1,927+12.03%
CCR4,039$2,5013,191$2,526+1.00%
OCR9,089$1,3927,286$1,563+12.28%
RCR6,515$1,8586,337$2,195+18.14%

Looking at overall prices, there was a roughly 12 per cent increase in price psf across the board. Price movements correlate to volumes, subject to largely similar forces this year: a softer market in the CCR due to cooling measures, and an uptick in RCR prices due to a slate of recent new launches. 

What isn’t reflected here, however, is the rapidly rising supply of homes. During the post-pandemic era, prices rose sharply due to a lack of housing; but as of end-2023, several major projects such as Jadescape, Normanton Park, and Treasure at Tampines are complete. These are among some of the largest mega-developments on the market. 

Couple this with moderating rental demand (also due to improved supply), higher home loan rates, and the wait-and-see period that often follows new cooling measures, and prices will probably continue to slow in 2024.

All new launches in 2023

These new launches have recorded sales in 2023:

Project NameTotal Number of Units in ProjectCumulative Units Sold to-dateHighest $PSF In 2023Lowest $PSF In 2023Median $PSF In 2023Take-Up Rate
10 EVELYN563130622700281855.4%
15 HOLLAND HILL5757312727102902100.0%
19 NASSIM1011239063036356511.9%
AMBER PARK592592278419562480100.0%
AMO RESIDENCE37237124432150228199.7%
ATLASSIA312322372036213674.2%
BARTLEY VUE1159820101732192185.2%
BAYWIND RESIDENCES2424219620802158100.0%
BLOSSOMS BY THE PARK27522727302196244182.5%
BOULEVARD 8815414040103644375390.9%
CAIRNHILL 163939321525872865100.0%
CANNINGHILL PIERS69668035513002310297.7%
CUSCADEN RESERVE192113401340134015.7%
DALVEY HAUS171343013011357776.5%
ENCHANTÉ251029022725283240.0%
FORETT AT BUKIT TIMAH633633243119091980100.0%
GEMS VILLE2411912191219124.2%
GRAND DUNMAN100861228192108252260.7%
GRANGE 1866603533902796301858.3%
HILL HOUSE721832632880321025.0%
HILLOCK GREEN47413224231882211027.8%
HYLL ON HOLLAND319319305926032879100.0%
IKIGAI161123332238229268.8%
IRWELL HILL RESIDENCES54053730912282299699.4%
J'DEN36833028242109247689.7%
JERVOIS MANSION13010522502250225080.8%
JERVOIS PRIVE431632292803292337.2%
K SUITES19421961919201021.1%
KI RESIDENCES AT BROOKVALE66065424261860225099.1%
KLIMT CAIRNHILL1389246453134355566.7%
KOPAR AT NEWTON37837229522366255098.4%
KOVAN JEWEL34721732035212620.6%
LAVENDER RESIDENCE171022381710197258.8%
LEEDON GREEN63863234672339294299.1%
LENTOR HILLS RESIDENCES59843524511834210772.7%
LENTOR MODERN60557823571918206395.5%
LES MAISONS NASSIM1414572750505257100.0%
LIV @ MB298298290921372449100.0%
MEYER MANSION20019929002513278799.5%
MIDTOWN BAY21912840862867323158.4%
MIDTOWN MODERN55853842782583292996.4%
MORI13712823291758189193.4%
MYRA8585271216002345100.0%
NEU AT NOVENA8787297025512580100.0%
ONE BERNAM35121033442309262059.8%
ONE HOLLAND VILLAGE RESIDENCES296296339126012881100.0%
ONE PEARL BANK774774297625172765100.0%
ORCHARD SOPHIA783228952758281641.0%
PARK NOVA545346423213355598.1%
PARKSUITES1193524772173237129.4%
PARKWOOD RESIDENCES1818186018601860100.0%
PARQ BELLA201323851940231265.0%
PASIR RIS 848748121011743176698.8%
PEAK RESIDENCE9090272222952477100.0%
PERFECT TEN23022536702942325597.8%
PICCADILLY GRAND40740621741801204699.8%
PINETREE HILL52016627052215237031.9%
PULLMAN RESIDENCES NEWTON34033737292803321799.1%
ROYAL HALLMARK323022891907217493.8%
RYMDEN 773131165916591659100.0%
SANCTUARY@NEWTON3822722257126475.3%
SCENECA RESIDENCE26817423741896208564.9%
SKY EDEN@BEDOK15814421771929210791.1%
SKY EVERTON262262295729572957100.0%
TEMBUSU GRAND63837627912280246158.9%
TERRA HILL27010429222233269538.5%
THE ARDEN1054718611565178244.8%
THE ATELIER120120298424792679100.0%
THE AVENIR376376331830113106100.0%
THE BOTANY AT DAIRY FARM38622524021712206558.3%
THE COMMODORE219219159014041528100.0%
THE CONTINUUM81629030162573273035.5%
THE LAKEGARDEN RESIDENCES3069523621880210331.0%
THE LANDMARK39631731082272265180.1%
THE M52252033222508299099.6%
THE MYST40817923231897207043.9%
THE REEF AT KING'S DOCK42941627382373262597.0%
THE RESERVE RESIDENCES73266128732197247390.3%
THE SHOREFRONT23419191767189917.4%
TMW MAXWELL32463739314333371.9%
VAN HOLLAND6969319324842865100.0%
WATTEN HOUSE18011135453077320061.7%
WILSHIRE RESIDENCES8585291926122780100.0%
ZYANYA342619261790189176.5%

Take-up rates may differ slightly from the exact end-of-year numbers, as this was written just over a week prior to the end of 2023.

Top selling projects for 2023

Project NameSold In 2023Median $PSF In 2023Median Price In 2023Tenure
THE RESERVE RESIDENCES662$2,473$1,856,46399 yrs from 29/11/2021
GRAND DUNMAN612$2,522$1,985,00099 yrs from 12/09/2022
LENTOR HILLS RESIDENCES434$2,107$1,628,00099 yrs from 25/04/2022
TEMBUSU GRAND376$2,461$1,833,00099 yrs from 25/04/2022
J'DEN328$2,476$2,075,50099 yrs from 01/03/1991

2023 ended with the normalisation of new launch prices at over $2,100 psf, and a median quantum of over $1.8 million for a new launch, family-sized condo unit. 

Top-selling CCR projects

Project NameSold In 2023Median $PSF In 2023Median Price In 2023Tenure
LEEDON GREEN632$2,942$2,016,000Freehold
PULLMAN RESIDENCES NEWTON337$3,217$2,158,000Freehold
WATTEN HOUSE111$3,200$4,996,000Freehold
THE ATELIER120$2,679$2,379,405Freehold
KLIMT CAIRNHILL92$3,555$5,575,000Freehold

Top selling RCR projects

Project NameSold In 2023Median $PSF In 2023Median Price In 2023Tenure
THE RESERVE RESIDENCES661$2,473$1,856,46399 yrs from 29/11/2021
GRAND DUNMAN612$2,522$1,985,00099 yrs from 12/09/2022
TEMBUSU GRAND376$2,461$1,833,00099 yrs from 25/04/2022
THE CONTINUUM290$2,730$1,989,000Freehold
BLOSSOMS BY THE PARK227$2,441$1,857,00099 yrs from 10/01/2022

Top selling OCR projects

Project NameSold In 2023Median $PSF In 2023Median Price In 2023Tenure
LENTOR HILLS RESIDENCES435$2,107$1,628,00099 yrs from 25/04/2022
J'DEN330$2,476$2,075,50099 yrs from 01/03/1991
THE BOTANY AT DAIRY FARM225$2,065$1,513,00099 yrs from 18/06/2022
THE MYST179$2,070$1,458,00099 yrs from 11/05/2023
SCENECA RESIDENCE174$2,085$1,571,00099 yrs from 10/02/2021

Resale project performance in 2023

Realtors told us they saw problems with inventory, toward the end of 2023. It wasn’t just a struggle to find buyers in the expensive market, it was getting increasingly tough to find sellers. 

This was attributed to the cost of a replacement property: high prices offset much of the gains from HDB resale prices, or even some condos. In addition, those who owned second properties were less willing to sell, as buying again in future would mean incurring 20 per cent ABSD (for Singaporean buyers). 

As such, good resale units may have been a bit tougher to find, by around mid-2023.

Top 5 resale performers

ProjectSale DateTransactedQuantum Gains% GainHolding Period (Years)
THE WINDSOR16/8/23$3,410,000$2,660,000355%18
TEXTILE CENTRE3/10/2023$990,000$765,000340%20.6
SHERWOOD TOWER30/1/23$1,380,000$1,060,000331%18.1
THE CENTREPOINT30/3/23$2,100,000$1,608,000327%16.9
THE CENTREPOINT27/4/232100000$1,600,000320%23.1

Bottom 5 resale performers

ProjectSale DateTransactedQuantum Loss% LossHolding Period (Years)
HELIOS RESIDENCES21/4/23$3,150,000-$1,833,000-37%10.5
MARINA BAY RESIDENCES18/10/23$6,900,000-$2,390,000-26%9.6
REFLECTIONS AT KEPPEL BAY17/1/23$3,068,000-$916,040-23%9.7
6 DERBYSHIRE31/8/23$920,000-$267,648-23%5.8
THE SAIL @ MARINA BAY15/9/23$4,300,000-$1,178,480-22%14.2

This year’s surprise entry is Textile Centre, as it’s mainly thought of as a commercial building, and is not exactly the best-looking project along Beach Road/Bugis. There are also KTVs in the commercial podium, which is usually unattractive to buyers - but perhaps the rising prominence of the Ophir-Rochor Corridor makes up for that. 

For the bottom performers, the usual suspects are all present (Reflections at Keppel Bay, for instance, is a familiar name to market watchers: it intermittently makes the news for both the biggest losses and the biggest profits). We have a more detailed explanation of the performance of these luxury freehold projects here

Rental market for private non-landed properties in 2023 (excluding ECs)

2023 saw a continuation of the brutal fall in supply and rise in rental prices. Needless to say, landlords were still in an advantageous position albeit the warnings that rental price increases are slowing down as sentiments points towards moderation.

The relentless rise has led to the government implementing a temporary increase in the occupancy cap for both private and HDB dwellings just recently.

Overall, leasing volume fell 16 per cent, to 72,466 leases from 86,506 the year before.

By market segment, the CCR saw the greatest dip of around 17 per cent while the RCR saw the smallest decrease of 15 per cent.

Volume of rental contracts

Market Segment20222023Change
Core Central Region25,24220,964-16.95%
Outside Central Region32,17526,796-16.72%
Rest of Central Region29,08924,706-15.07%
Total86,50672,466-16.23%

Rental price change by market segment

Market Segment20222023Change
Core Central Region$4.90$5.83+18.98%
Outside Central Region$3.55$4.36+22.82%
Rest of Central Region$4.35$5.35+22.99%
Total$4.18$5.08+21.53%

Top rental yield projects in 2023

DistrictProjectTenureCompletionAverage PriceNo. of TransactionsAverage Rent ($PSF PM)# Rental ContractsYield (%)
21THE HILLFORD60 YRS FROM 201320161,399187.75846.7
14LE REGALFREEHOLD20151,27986.8266.4
23LAUREL TREEFREEHOLD20211,326136.71276.1
14PAVILION SQUAREFREEHOLD20181,45247.25276
14GRANDVIEW SUITESFREEHOLD20161,13155.46165.8
Source: Squarefoot Research

Bottom rental yield projects in 2023

DistrictProjectTenureCompletionAverage PriceNo. of TransactionsAverage Rent ($PSF PM)# Rental ContractsYield (%)
15KING'S MANSIONFREEHOLD19821,87753.14292
10ARDMORE PARKFREEHOLD20014,31747.16742
15FERNWOOD TOWERSFREEHOLD19941,73953.1362.1
10THE LADYHILLFREEHOLD20022,61744.6552.1
10BISHOPSGATE RESIDENCESFREEHOLD20123,68846.5452.1
Source: Squarefoot Research

HDB resale market

2023 saw HDB volumes fell by 6.57 per cent from 26,720 to 24,964 which follows a similar trend between 2021 and 2022.

In terms of prices, 2-room flats saw the highest price increase - also similar between 2021 to 2022 at 9.1 per cent. This was followed by 7.8 per cent for multi-generational flats.

5-room flats saw the smallest increase in price of 4.4%. This is similar to 2022 when 5-room flats also saw the smallest increase in price at 8%.

Resale transaction volume in 2023

HDB Resale Market Transactions Change 2022 2023

Resale transaction by flat type

Flat Type2022 Volume2022 Avg $PSF2023 Volume2023 Avg $PSFApprox Gain/Loss
1 ROOM10$6926$728+5.2%
2 ROOM456$603660$658+9.1%
3 ROOM6,335$5326,159$562+5.6%
4 ROOM11,309$54110,999$574+6.1%
5 ROOM6,713$5195,681$542+4.4%
EXECUTIVE1,885$4991,457$530+6.2%
MULTI-GENERATION12$5132$553+7.8%
Grand Total26,720$53224,964$564+6.0%
Source: HDB

BTO launches in 2023

EstateBTOLaunchEst. CompletionUnits
Bukit MerahAlexandra Peaks5-Dec-2359 months904
BedokChai Chee Green5-Dec-2339 / 43 months1234
Jurong WestJurong Arcadia5-Dec-2337 months716
Bukit PanjangPetir Park Edge5-Dec-2348 months334
BishanSin Ming Residences5-Dec-2332 months732
QueenstownUlu Pandan Vista5-Dec-2359 months890
WoodlandsUrban Rise @ Woodlands5-Dec-2351 months848
WoodlandsWoodlands Beacon5-Dec-2350 months399
Choa Chu KangRail Green I & II @ CCK4-Oct-2339 months (Rail Green I @ CCK)/ 48 months (Rail Green II @ CCK)1895
TengahPlantation Edge I & II4-Oct-2336 months (Plantation Edge I)/ 40 months (Plantation Edge II)1010
Kallang WhampoaRajah Residences4-Oct-2352 months739
Kallang WhampoaTenteram Vantage4-Oct-2345 months1040
Kallang WhampoaVerandah @ Kallang4-Oct-2342 months1143
QueenstownTanglin Halt Cascadia4-Oct-2354 months973
BedokBedok South Blossoms30-May-233Q 20271640
Kallang WhampoaFarrer Park Arena (PLH)30-May-234Q 2027569
SerangoonSerangoon North Vista30-May-233Q 2027330
TengahParc Meadow @ Tengah30-May-231Q 2027 – 2Q 20271985
TengahPlantation Verge30-May-233Q 2027971
TengahBrickland Weave28-Feb-234Q 20271641
Kallang WhampoaFarrer Park Fields (PLH)28-Feb-232Q 20281274
Jurong WestJurong West Crystal28-Feb-233Q 2027271
Kallang WhampoaRajah Summit28-Feb-232Q 2028510
QueenstownUlu Pandan Glades (PLH)28-Feb-232Q 2029732
Source: Teoalida

Executive Condominium launch in 2023

2023 saw only 1 EC launch - Altura. The EC in Bukit Batok made headlines for setting a new record in prices which we've also covered extensively in our pricing review. Despite this, it's almost 90% sold to date.

ProjectUnitsUnits Sold-To-DateLowest $PSF In 2022Highest $PSF In 2022Median $PSF In 2022Take-Up
ALTURA36031213251585147886.7%

Going into 2024

The combination of rising interest rates, higher housing supply, and even developers turning cautious signals a change in the market. 

Genuine home buyers have a lot to look forward to: even if prices don’t drop, it’s likely that they’ve lost their upward momentum. And with the slew of newly completed projects, those seeking resale options may find a much wider range to choose from. Sellers, however, may soon need to adjust their expectations. 

For more updates and news on the Singapore private property market, follow us on Stacked. We’ll also provide you with an in-depth look at new and resale projects alike. 

At Stacked, we like to look beyond the headlines and surface-level numbers, and focus on how things play out in the real world.

If you'd like to discuss how this applies to your own circumstances, you can reach out for a one-to-one consultation here.

And if you simply have a question or want to share a thought, feel free to write to us at stories@stackedhomes.com. We read every message.