The Allure Of Integrated Developments: Are They Worth The Price Premium?

Singaporeans love convenience. And nothing shows this better than the sales trend of new launch integrated developments, which have been flying off the shelves:

Integrated Development	% Sales at launch
The Reserve Residences	71%
Lentor Modern	84%
Canninghill Piers	77%
Midtown Modern	61%
Pasir Ris 8	85%

Because what could be better than having a proper shopping mall, a bus interchange, an MRT station, or maybe even the public library right downstairs?

However, because of those traits, it's worth noting that integrated condo developments are a rarity in each estate. As a result, these sought-after properties command a significant price premium compared to standalone private residential developments.

The question then arises: Are integrated developments truly worth their price premium? In this analysis, we delve deeper into the appeal and value proposition of these integrated complexes:

What’s an integrated development? 

An integrated development is a project that combined residential housing with a commercial component (this can be a mall, offices, or others). Unlike a mixed-use development, which sounds similar, an integrated development also tends to include three other things:

• It’s directly connected to public transport, such as with direct access to the MRT via the mall.
• There’s often some kind of civic institution embedded within the project. This is most commonly the neighbourhood library, but can also include things like clinics, senior day care, and others. 
• An integrated development has full condo facilities, unlike some mixed-use developments that are on top of malls but lack pools, gyms, and so forth 

The tenants of the commercial space, in an integrated development, also tend to be better managed compared to those of a mixed-use condo (e.g., the developer may go out of the way to ensure a proper supermarket, a better mix of food choices, and so on). If anything, the success of these spaces will typically be dependent on how well-curated the mall is.

What’s the typical premium for an integrated development?

A common saying, which you’ll hear from many a realtor, is that integrated developments can cost around 20 to 25 per cent more. When we looked closer at these developments, however, it’s clear the premium gap is usually much higher:

Premium gap at launch

Projects	District	Avg New Sale $PSF	First Sale Date	6 Months Before	Resale PSF 6 months Before 1st Sale	$PSF Premium Gap
BEDOK RESIDENCES	16	$1,338	1/12/11	4/6/11	$933	43.4%
COMPASS HEIGHTS	19	$485	3/2/01	7/8/00	$507	-4.2%
DUO RESIDENCES	7	$2,030	14/11/13	18/5/13	$1,249	62.5%
HILLION RESIDENCES	23	$1,411	26/3/13	27/9/12	$888	58.9%
MARINA ONE RESIDENCES	1	$2,369	21/10/14	24/4/14	$2,032	16.6%
MIDTOWN BAY	7	$3,007	5/10/19	8/4/19	$2,597	15.8%
MIDTOWN MODERN	7	$2,798	19/3/21	20/9/20	$1,701	64.5%
NORTH PARK RESIDENCES	27	$1,344	13/4/15	15/10/14	$809	66.2%
PARK PLACE RESIDENCES AT PLQ	14	$1,896	24/3/17	25/9/16	$1,060	78.8%
PASIR RIS 8	18	$1,635	23/7/21	24/1/21	$987	65.7%
SENGKANG GRAND RESIDENCES	19	$1,735	1/11/19	5/5/19	$1,086	59.8%
THE CENTRIS	22	$502	20/1/06	24/7/05	$305	64.5%
THE ORCHARD RESIDENCES	9	$3,341	22/3/07	23/9/06	$1,110	200.9%
THE POIZ RESIDENCES	13	$1,427	28/11/15	1/6/15	$1,183	20.6%
THE WOODLEIGH RESIDENCES	13	$2,010	10/11/18	14/5/18	$1,418	41.7%
WALLICH RESIDENCE	2	$3,310	16/12/13	19/6/13	$1,475	124.4%
WATERTOWN	19	$1,216	26/1/12	30/7/11	$900	35.1%

Premium gap for new launches across districts

District	$PSF Premium Gap
1	112.6%
2	82.2%
3	34.2%
4	82.0%
5	37.5%
7	46.3%
8	37.7%
9	50.6%
10	28.2%
11	27.5%
12	17.8%
13	25.7%
14	37.2%
15	27.0%
16	28.2%
17	10.3%
18	27.4%
19	26.3%
20	39.4%
21	32.3%
22	48.6%
23	37.7%
25	12.8%
26	30.0%
27	33.1%
28	47.2%

Integrated premium gap relative to their district's premium gap

Projects	District	$PSF Premium Gap	$PSF District Premium Gap	$PSF Integrated Gap
MARINA ONE RESIDENCES	1	16.6%	112.6%	-96.0%
COMPASS HEIGHTS	19	-4.2%	26.3%	-30.5%
MIDTOWN BAY	7	15.8%	46.3%	-30.5%
THE POIZ RESIDENCES	13	20.6%	25.7%	-5.1%
WATERTOWN	19	35.1%	26.3%	8.8%
BEDOK RESIDENCES	16	43.4%	28.2%	15.2%
THE CENTRIS	22	64.5%	48.6%	15.9%
THE WOODLEIGH RESIDENCES	13	41.7%	25.7%	16.0%
DUO RESIDENCES	7	62.5%	46.3%	16.2%
MIDTOWN MODERN	7	64.5%	46.3%	18.2%
HILLION RESIDENCES	23	58.9%	37.7%	21.2%
NORTH PARK RESIDENCES	27	66.2%	33.1%	33.1%
SENGKANG GRAND RESIDENCES	19	59.8%	26.3%	33.5%
PASIR RIS 8	18	65.7%	27.4%	38.3%
PARK PLACE RESIDENCES AT PLQ	14	78.8%	37.2%	41.6%
WALLICH RESIDENCE	2	124.4%	82.2%	42.2%
THE ORCHARD RESIDENCES	9	200.9%	50.6%	150.3%

13 of the 17 projects showed a premium higher than the typical new launch premium for their district. This is not entirely surprising, as even the land costs tend to be much higher for integrated projects (just by virtue of being so close to the MRT station, as well as near the hub of the neighbourhood). 

Is it worth paying so much for an integrated development?

We looked at the performance of new launch integrated developments with transactions occurring after 14^th January 2011. This prevents the data from being distorted by the effect of the Sellers Stamp Duty (SSD), which didn’t exist prior to this date. We also took into account those who sold before the development obtained their TOP, so developments like Midtown Bay are inside

Integrated Developments	Proportions of gains
MIDTOWN BAY	50%
MARINA ONE RESIDENCES	59%
WALLICH RESIDENCE	60%
THE WOODLEIGH RESIDENCES	67%
DUO RESIDENCES	79%
WATERTOWN	90%
HILLION RESIDENCES	92%
BEDOK RESIDENCES	95%
PARK PLACE RESIDENCES AT PLQ	95%
NORTH PARK RESIDENCES	97%
MIDTOWN MODERN	100%
SENGKANG GRAND RESIDENCES	100%
THE POIZ RESIDENCES	100%

In the table above, you can see that developments such as Midtown Modern, Sengkang Grand Residences, and The Poiz Residences rewarded every single new launch buyer with a profitable transaction as far as the data is available. On the flip side, Midtown Bay and Marina One Residences saw a low portion of winners so far.

However, it's safe to say that the majority of integrated development can be counted on for gains. Eight of 13 projects managed to see gains in 80 per cent of transactions, with Duo Residences coming close at 79 per cent.  

But we can't just look at integrated developments in isolation. How do these proportions of gains compare to non-integrated developments?

If we look at all 542 projects that had new sales after 14 Jan 2011, you'll find that the majority have at least 4 in 5 transactions being profitable (excluding costs):

For new-to-resale transactions and sub-sales, the same pattern holds: around four out of five transactions were profitable, among 272 projects. 

In other words, having a good proportion of new launch buyers winning is not unique to integrated development projects only. Ordinary new launches have also been shown to have rewarded buyers most of the time.

But this is just part of our original question. We wanted to know if the gains are enough to justify the premiums as well. 

Comparison by percentage gains 

Project	Gain	Loss	Average	Integrated Premium Gap
BEDOK RESIDENCES	12.1%	-2.2%	11.4%	15.2%
DUO RESIDENCES	13.4%	-8.7%	8.7%	16.2%
HILLION RESIDENCES	12.4%	-4.0%	11.1%	21.2%
MARINA ONE RESIDENCES	6.8%	-6.4%	1.4%	-96.0%
MIDTOWN BAY	2.9%	-5.0%	-1.1%	-30.5%
MIDTOWN MODERN	7.6%		7.6%	18.2%
NORTH PARK RESIDENCES	19.6%	-2.5%	19.1%	33.1%
PARK PLACE RESIDENCES AT PLQ	13.7%	-1.2%	13.0%	41.6%
SENGKANG GRAND RESIDENCES	6.2%		6.2%	33.5%
THE POIZ RESIDENCES	20.9%		20.9%	-5.1%
THE WOODLEIGH RESIDENCES	8.3%	-2.4%	4.8%	16.0%
WALLICH RESIDENCE	7.7%	-5.8%	2.3%	42.2%
WATERTOWN	18.3%	-5.9%	15.9%	8.8%
Average	16.6%	-5.7%	14.78%

Projects	Gain	Loss	Average
Non-Integrated	15.0%	-7.0%	12.1%

Here, we show the percentage gain and loss for integrated development transactions and compare them to every other non-integrated development (for new sale units). 

We can see that in general, integrated developments experienced slightly higher gains when profitable (16.6% vs 15.0%).

Even if there’s a losing transaction, integrated developments tend to lose less than regular counterparts (-5.7% vs -7.0%).

This suggests that, despite the initial premium placed on integrated developments, there is still good room for profit.

This is true even if the premium for being integrated is higher than the typical premium for being a new launch. 

North Park Residences, for example, had a premium gap of 33 per cent, but managed a gain of 19.6 per cent, and kept its losses to just -2.5 per cent. 

Watertown had a much lower premium gap of 8.7 per cent, but the percentage gain was largely similar, and percentage losses were much greater at -5.9 per cent. 

There are some exceptions, such as Midtown Bay and Marina One Residences; but this is due to the lack of new launches in the area, which may be distorting the overall picture (and it's still early days for Midtown Bay, but also because there's a cheaper alternative in Midtown Modern). 

Profitability still boils down to the project in question

As we can see, the performance of integrated developments can vary widely from each other. In addition, we have to consider that the number of integrated developments is very small, compared to the number of regular condos; this also limits our ability to predict performance. 

The only general conclusion we can draw is that, overall, you can make at least as much from an integrated development as you could from a typical new launch condo (at least in the context of the past 12 months). 

But integrated developments are better rental assets, right? 

Actually, most realtors will tell you integrated developments have high rentability, not that they have a higher rental yield. The two are not the same (rentability just means it’s easy to find a tenant, not that the yield is particularly high). 

Here’s the reason for it: when we looked at 12 of the integrated developments, and compared rental yields to condos in the same district, there was no clear pattern that they were better:

Highlighted in green are the integrated development's position in terms of yield from left to right (highest to slowest yields).

Hillion Residences and The Poiz top their district for rental yields, but Wallich Residence and Marina One Residences are at the bottom of their district. So there isn’t any strong conclusion here about yield, and it's really more project and location dependent. 

And as is always the case, yield is more about the price you paid: the more expensive the unit, the lower the yield is going to be (gross yield = annual income/unit cost). This could explain Compass Heights: as an older leasehold development, the overall price will be lower; but the rental income can be maintained due to its convenient nature. 

On the flip side, luxury projects like Wallich Residence will always seem to have depressed yields, as these high-end properties are so pricey, to begin with. 

So an integrated development may not necessarily get you a higher rental yield. However, few people would disagree that it’s much easier to find a tenant when your condo is directly connected to the MRT. 

As with everything, it's hard to draw a blanket statement regarding integrated developments completely - it will be dependent on the project in question. From the data shown, although they come with a price premium, their scarcity, curated amenities, and direct access to public transport contribute to their appeal, which can be seen even in the resale market.